{"id":3862,"date":"2022-05-20T05:54:19","date_gmt":"2022-05-20T07:54:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/allgrain.lt\/?p=3862"},"modified":"2022-05-20T06:35:48","modified_gmt":"2022-05-20T08:35:48","slug":"lgppa-ziniasklaidoje-k-simo-komentaras-ukininko-patarejuje-apie-grudu-rinkos-situacija","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/allgrain.lt\/en\/lgppa-ziniasklaidoje-k-simo-komentaras-ukininko-patarejuje-apie-grudu-rinkos-situacija\/","title":{"rendered":"LGPPA \u017einiasklaidoje: K.\u0160imo komentaras &#8220;\u016akininko patar\u0117juje&#8221; apie gr\u016bd\u0173 rinkos situacij\u0105"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"qtranxs-available-languages-message qtranxs-available-languages-message-en\">Sorry, this entry is only available in <a href=\"https:\/\/allgrain.lt\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3862\" class=\"qtranxs-available-language-link qtranxs-available-language-link-lt\" title=\"Lietuvi\u0173\">Lietuvi\u0173<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p><p><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 300;\">Svarbu atkreipti d\u0117mes\u012f, kad nors d\u0117l Rusijos Ukrainoje sukelto karo pasaulin\u0117s gr\u016bd\u0173 rinkos atrodo chaoti\u0161kai, visos pasaulio \u0161alys, auginan\u010dios ir eksportuojan\u010dios gr\u016bdus, deda pastangas, kad rinkose j\u0173 netr\u016bkt\u0173 ir kad b\u016bt\u0173 u\u017etikrinta maisto gamybos grandin\u0117. \u0160iandien eksportas i\u0161 Ukrainos pristabdytas, Ukraina laikinai \u012fved\u0117 ribojimus si\u0173sti vagonus, krautus gr\u016bdin\u0117mis kult\u016bromis, link Moldovos ir Rumunijos d\u0117l dideli\u0173 vagon\u0173 kieki\u0173, u\u017estrigusi\u0173 Ukrainos pasieniuose ties Moldova ir Rumunija. \u0160is kelias yra vienas pagrindini\u0173, kuriuo gali Ukraina\u00a0\u00a0dabartin\u0117mis s\u0105lygomis i\u0161ve\u017eti reik\u0161mingesn\u012f kiek\u012f gr\u016bd\u0173. Ukrainos-Lenkijos pasienyje situacija taip pat sud\u0117tinga. Jungtini\u0173 Taut\u0173 maisto organizacija skelbia, kad Ukrainoje yra lik\u0119 seno derliaus apie 25 mln. ton\u0173 gr\u016bd\u0173, kuri\u0173 d\u0117l karo veiksm\u0173 i\u0161 \u0161alies ne\u012fmanoma eksportuoti per u\u017eblokuotus Juodosios j\u016bros uostus.<\/p>\n<p>Vertinant dabartin\u0119 Klaip\u0117dos valstybinio j\u016br\u0173 uosto ir \u0161alies gele\u017einkeli\u0173 situacij\u0105, Lietuva gal\u0117t\u0173 pad\u0117ti Ukrainai eksportuoti tik iki 1 mln. t\u00a0gr\u016bd\u0173 per metus. Bet Lietuvos logistikos sistemai reikalingi ne tik poky\u010diai, bet ir nema\u017eos investicijos srautams pertvarkyti. Stipriausia Lietuvos grandis \u2013 Klaip\u0117dos valstybinis j\u016br\u0173 uostas. Jo paj\u0117gumai jau dabar u\u017etikrina apie 5 mln. t gr\u016bdini\u0173 kult\u016br\u0173 krov\u0105. Neb\u016bt\u0173 problema pakrauti ir 8\u20139 mln. t, ta\u010diau sistema turi veikti nepriekai\u0161tingai tiksliai. Pralaidumas b\u016bt\u0173 dar didesnis, jei Klaip\u0117dos uoste \u201eBelaruskalij\u201c tr\u0105\u0161as krov\u0119s Biri\u0173 krovini\u0173 terminalas (BKT), kurio paj\u0117gumai siek\u0117 iki 10 mln. t, b\u016bt\u0173 pritaikytas gr\u016bd\u0173 krovai. Jis gal\u0117t\u0173 gerokai padidinti Lietuvos galimybes eksportuoti daugiau tranzitini\u0173 Ukrainos gr\u016bd\u0173, jei toks teorinis poreikis atsirast\u0173. Silpnoji grandis \u2013 gele\u017einkeliai ir gr\u016bdove\u017eiai, bei specializuoto autotransporto tr\u016bkumas. Lietuvos gele\u017einkeliai negali taip lengvai transportuoti daugiau gr\u016bd\u0173 transportavimo d\u0117l j\u0173 vagon\u0173 tr\u016bkumo. J\u0173 papildomai Lietuva neturi, o ir u\u017esakyti negali, nes rusi\u0161kai gele\u017einkelio v\u0117\u017eei tinkamus vagonus gali pagaminti tik Rusija arba Baltarusija, anks\u010diau ir Ukraina. Taigi, \u0161iandien neturime i\u0161vystytos europin\u0117s v\u0117\u017e\u0117s ar galimybi\u0173 rusi\u0161k\u0105 i\u0161naudoti papildomiems vagonams, tad kyla daug i\u0161\u0161\u016bki\u0173 Lietuvos gr\u016bdams. Vienintel\u0117 alternatyva, tai tranzitas per Baltarusij\u0105 ukrainieti\u0161kais vagonais, bet \u0161is sprendimas Jungtini\u0173 taut\u0173 rankose. Ai\u0161ku, jei ne m\u016bs\u0173 at\u0161al\u0119 santykiai su Kinija, tokio tarpininkaujan\u010dio, tranzito operatoriaus\u00a0\u00a0vaidmens gal\u0117t\u0173 imtis ir konkreti \u0161alis kaip Kinija. Kuri daro didel\u0119 \u012ftak\u0105 Rusijai, Baltarusijai ir yra did\u017eiausia ukrainieti\u0161k\u0173 kukur\u016bz\u0173 ir mie\u017ei\u0173 pirk\u0117ja.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 300;\">\u017dinoma, labiausiai pasaulis laukia taikos, kuri prad\u0117t\u0173 gr\u0105\u017einti logistines grandines \u012f savo vietas, ta\u010diau kol\u00a0\u00a0esame tokioje situacijoje, d\u0117sime visas pastangas, kad \u017emon\u0117ms netr\u016bkt\u0173 maisto produkt\u0173.\u00a0\u00a0Lietuvos rinka gr\u016bd\u0173 nepritruks, dar turime atsarg\u0173, laukiamas naujas derlius, kuris, tikim\u0117s, nebus prastesnis nei pernai.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 300;\">\u017diemini\u0173 kvie\u010di\u0173 pas\u0117liai \u2013 lyginant su pra\u0117jusi\u0173 met\u0173 sezonu, \u017eieminiai kvie\u010diai atrodo labai pana\u0161iai, tad jei gamta nei\u0161kr\u0117s siurpriz\u0173, situacija turi b\u016bti ne blogesn\u0117, nei pernai. Jei kalb\u0117tume apie \u017eiemini\u0173 kvie\u010di\u0173 tr\u0119\u0161im\u0105, tai situacija labai skirtinga ir priklauso nuo regiono bei \u016bkio dyd\u017eio. Didesni \u016bkiai tr\u0119\u0161ia dosniau, kai kurie vidutiniai ir ma\u017ei \u016bkiai tr\u0119\u0161ia tik simboli\u0161kai. Tr\u0119\u0161imo intensyvumas priklauso ne tik nuo regiono, bet ir nuo to, kada \u016bkiai apsisprend\u0117 nusipirkti azotines tr\u0105\u0161as. Bet kuriuo atveju, tr\u0119\u0161imas \u0161iais metais bus kuklesnis nei pernai.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 300;\">\u017dieminiai rapsai \u2013 pas\u0117li\u0173 b\u016bkl\u0117 kai kuriuose regionuose prastesn\u0117 nei pernai, ta\u010diau bendra situacija pakankamai nebloga, nes dal\u012f prastai atrodan\u010di\u0173 pas\u0117li\u0173 \u016bkininkai i\u0161naikino ir ats\u0117jo vasarin\u0117mis kult\u016bromis, tad tikrai prastos b\u016bkl\u0117s pas\u0117li\u0173 tur\u0117jo likti minimaliai.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 300;\">Vasarin\u0117s kult\u016bros jau pas\u0117tos, beliks gal tik kukur\u016bzai. Pastebime, kad d\u0117l brangesni\u0173 azotini\u0173 tr\u0105\u0161\u0173 gali b\u016bti persiskirstymas tarp pa\u0161arini\u0173 ir salyklini\u0173 mie\u017ei\u0173 plot\u0173 pastar\u0173j\u0173 naudai.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 300;\">Tad visk\u0105 apibendrinant, b\u016bt\u0173 logi\u0161ka, kad \u016bkininkai tr\u0119\u0161t\u0173 atitinkamai, kad u\u017eaugint\u0173\u00a0<em>ekstra<\/em> ar pirmos klas\u0117s kvie\u010dius. Jei derlius bus nepakankamai patr\u0119\u0161tas, dalis jav\u0173 gali tapti pa\u0161ariniais, o tai net prie vidutinio derliaus bus didelis pajam\u0173 netekimas hektare. \u0160iandien pa\u0161ariniams kvie\u010diams nuoskaita tik did\u0117ja. Tad teisingai tr\u0119\u0161iamo b\u016bsimo derliaus pelningumas i\u0161 hektaro kompensuoja galimus kokyb\u0117s praradimus ir galimas derlingumo netektis bei eliminuoja did\u017ei\u0105j\u0105 dal\u012f i\u0161vardint\u0173 rizik\u0173.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 300;\">Skai\u010diuojama, kad duonos gaminio kainodaroje miltai sudaro nuo 20 iki 25 proc. kainos. Likusi\u0105 kainos dal\u012f sudaro kepykl\u0173 patiriami ka\u0161tai bei kiti gaminiui paruo\u0161ti reikalingi komponentai. Visoms milt\u0173, kaip ir daugeliui kit\u0173 kategorij\u0173 preki\u0173, savikainos dedamosioms \u012ftak\u0105 daro esama situacija pasaulin\u0117je rinkoje. Savikainos did\u0117jim\u0105 lemia\u00a0energetikos, logistikos, darbo u\u017emokes\u010dio, pakuo\u010di\u0173 kain\u0173 augimas.\u00a0Gr\u016bd\u0173 kaina bir\u017eoje nuo pat karo Ukrainoje prad\u017eios \u0161oko \u012f rekordines auk\u0161tumas. \u0160is veiksnys jau yra \u012fvertintas, o pastar\u0105sias dvi savaites dar \u017eibalo \u012fpyl\u0117 sausros Indijoje bei indi\u0161k\u0173 kvie\u010di\u0173 eksporto ribojimas, sausros Vakar\u0173 Europoje. Lietaus prakti\u0161kai jau m\u0117nes\u012f nemat\u0117 pranc\u016bzai, danai, belgai, olandai ir \u0161iaurin\u0117 Vokietijos dalis. Dar bent m\u0117nes\u012f reikt\u0173 steb\u0117ti ir kitas gr\u016bdus auginan\u010dias \u0161alis. Tod\u0117l naujam derliui prognozuojamos \u017eenkliai auk\u0161tesn\u0117s kainos, nei tur\u0117jome 2021 metais.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 300;\">Suprantama, auk\u0161tos ir vis kylan\u010dios gr\u016bd\u0173 kainos tur\u0117s neigiamos \u012ftakos visai maisto gamybos grandinei \u2013 pienininkystei, gyvulininkystei, pauk\u0161tininkystei ir kt. Jau pastebimas visame pasaulyje gyvulininkyst\u0117s sektoriaus susitraukimas, tik\u0117tina ir gr\u016bd\u0173 vartojimas pa\u0161ar\u0173 sektoriui \u017eenkliai ma\u017e\u0117s, nes vartotojui darosi vis sunkiau \u012fpirkti m\u0117sos produktus. Gyvulininkyst\u0117 i\u0161lieka did\u017eiausia gr\u016bd\u0173 naudotoja. Vidutini\u0161kai vienam kilogramui jautienos u\u017eauginti tenka 25 kilogramai gr\u016bdini\u0173 kult\u016br\u0173, kiaulienos\u00a0\u2013 apie 6 kilogramus, vi\u0161tienos\u00a0\u2013 vir\u0161 3 kilogram\u0173.<\/p>\n<p>Lietuvoje iki 1 milijono ton\u0173 lietuvi\u0161k\u0173 gr\u016bdini\u0173 kult\u016br\u0173 sunaudojama pa\u0161arui. Jei ukrainieti\u0161ki kukur\u016bzai, mie\u017eiai ar pa\u0161ariniai kvie\u010diai pajud\u0117t\u0173 per Lietuvos teritorij\u0105, atsirast\u0173 galimyb\u0117 dal\u012f importuojam\u0173\u00a0\u00a0pa\u0161ar\u0173 sunaudoti ir Lietuvoje,\u00a0\u00a0o savo maistinius gr\u016bdus eksportuoti.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 300;\">Manome, kad gr\u016bd\u0173 vartojimas maisto sektoriui nema\u017e\u0117s, nors pastebimas importuojan\u010di\u0173 \u0161ali\u0173 pirkimas nebekaupiant rezervo, tik artimiausiam poreikiui u\u017edengti. Kiek pabrangusi\u0173 kvie\u010di\u0173 pasauliniu mastu bus pakeista kitomis maistin\u0117mis kult\u016bromis sunku prognozuoti, bet \u0161i alternatyva taip pat tik\u0117tina.<\/p>\n<p><em>Publikacija: https:\/\/data1.station.ee\/pdf.station.ee\/lt\/UkininkoPatarejas\/2022\/05\/19\/p4.pdf?AWSAccessKeyId=BKIAJMCAZLEYS3TMYI7Q2&amp;Expires=1653573335&amp;Signature=uA6DW0UHCmC1dTTNHM0Q4x5m9k0%3D<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sorry, this entry is only available in Lietuvi\u0173. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. Svarbu atkreipti d\u0117mes\u012f, kad nors d\u0117l Rusijos Ukrainoje sukelto karo pasaulin\u0117s gr\u016bd\u0173 rinkos atrodo chaoti\u0161kai, visos pasaulio \u0161alys, auginan\u010dios ir eksportuojan\u010dios gr\u016bdus, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":3865,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3862","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cloud"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title><\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/allgrain.lt\/lgppa-ziniasklaidoje-k-simo-komentaras-ukininko-patarejuje-apie-grudu-rinkos-situacija\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"[:lt]LGPPA \u017einiasklaidoje: K.\u0160imo komentaras &quot;\u016akininko patar\u0117juje&quot; apie gr\u016bd\u0173 rinkos situacij\u0105[:] | AllGrain\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Sorry, this entry is only available in Lietuvi\u0173. 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